Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.588318e-04 0.000181 0.000204 0.000230 0.000257 0.000286 0.000318
2025-01-19 1.093621e-04 0.000141 0.000177 0.000219 0.000266 0.000318 0.000378
2025-01-26 8.484532e-05 0.000121 0.000163 0.000215 0.000277 0.000346 0.000428
2025-02-02 6.818893e-05 0.000107 0.000154 0.000214 0.000287 0.000372 0.000474
2025-02-09 5.432983e-05 0.000093 0.000144 0.000210 0.000293 0.000391 0.000512
2025-02-16 4.632515e-05 0.000086 0.000140 0.000214 0.000308 0.000420 0.000560
2025-02-23 3.892609e-05 0.000079 0.000136 0.000215 0.000318 0.000443 0.000603
2025-03-02 3.224858e-05 0.000072 0.000131 0.000215 0.000326 0.000464 0.000640
2025-03-09 2.989363e-05 0.000071 0.000134 0.000226 0.000349 0.000502 0.000700
2025-03-16 2.536654e-05 0.000066 0.000131 0.000227 0.000359 0.000524 0.000740
2025-03-23 2.223370e-05 0.000063 0.000130 0.000232 0.000373 0.000551 0.000786
2025-03-30 1.892328e-05 0.000059 0.000127 0.000233 0.000383 0.000573 0.000826
2025-04-06 1.431260e-05 0.000052 0.000119 0.000228 0.000383 0.000584 0.000853
2025-04-13 9.719978e-06 0.000043 0.000108 0.000217 0.000376 0.000585 0.000868
2025-04-20 7.129365e-06 0.000038 0.000102 0.000213 0.000379 0.000599 0.000900
2025-04-27 5.259503e-06 0.000034 0.000098 0.000212 0.000385 0.000617 0.000935
2025-05-04 3.562967e-06 0.000030 0.000093 0.000208 0.000386 0.000628 0.000964
2025-05-11 2.777228e-06 0.000028 0.000092 0.000212 0.000399 0.000655 0.001011
2025-05-18 1.993659e-06 0.000026 0.000090 0.000213 0.000408 0.000676 0.001052
2025-05-25 1.306258e-06 0.000024 0.000087 0.000213 0.000414 0.000694 0.001088
2025-06-01 1.201101e-06 0.000024 0.000091 0.000224 0.000437 0.000736 0.001156
2025-06-08 7.908087e-07 0.000022 0.000089 0.000225 0.000446 0.000757 0.001197
2025-06-15 5.601396e-07 0.000021 0.000089 0.000230 0.000460 0.000786 0.001248